Today, Theresa May (UK Prime Minister) announced a snap election.
This came after saying for some time she wouldn’t do this, and just
two years after the last UK General Election (UK terms are usually
four to five years).
Obviously, it’s a big
gamble, and on 8 June we’ll see how it pans out. Of course, it’s
not the first such gamble in history.
The classic would be
Julius Caesar, standing with his army on one side of the Rubicon.
He’d been ordered back to Rome, without his army. Caesar had
understandable reservations. The unofficial triumvirate that had
dominated Roman politics had fractured. He was one member, and
another, Crassus, had been killed whilst on campaign in Parthia.
Pompey, the third member, had been married to Caesar’s daughter,
but she had died.
Caesar and Pompey found
themselves on opposing sides of Roman politics. The two men,
previously allies, were now to fight for control of Rome (still
technically a republic). Caesar had a choice to make. Obey the
summons of his city and probably be prosecuted, or march an army into
Italy.
He crossed the Rubicon,
crossing the river with a loyal army at his back. It was a decision
from which there could be no turning back (the phrase is still
sometimes used today, and could well apply to the Prime Minister’s
decision). Ultimately, it paid off. Caesar won the war and briefly
ruled what was in effect an empire, until his assassination a year or
so after the civil war ended. His adopted son, taking the name
Augustus, won his own civil war and became the first emperor,
reigning for decades.
It was not the last
civil war the Roman Empire would see. Julian, appointed as Caesar
(junior emperor) by his cousin Constantius II (largely on the basis
he was the only surviving male relative the emperor had) to govern
Gaul and protect it from the rampaging Germanic tribes, set about his
task with surprising confidence for a man plucked from obscure
academia. Julian was so competent, in fact, that his soldiers
proclaimed him emperor, which put him in a tight spot. He could
either accept, and embark upon civil war against the man who had
appointed him in the first place, or decline, and risk getting
murdered by his own men.
Julian decided to
accept.
The two sides geared up
for war, and Julian scored perhaps the most perfect victory in a
civil war in the history of mankind. Before the armies met,
Constantius fell terminally ill. On his deathbed, he named his cousin
as his successor. Not a drop of blood was shed, and Julian the
Apostate became emperor.
Of course, snap
decisions to achieve sovereign power don’t always work out well,
and rarely as well as Julian’s bloodless triumph.
Sir Roger Mortimer had
been a relatively close friend of Edward II. However, the latter’s
capacity for alienating others, not least at the behest of Hugh
Despenser, gradually led to Roger becoming disaffected and then rebelling outright. The Mortimer, as then known, was imprisoned and
destined for death.
However, he managed to
escape to France, where he formed a political (and personal) alliance
with Edward II’s wife Isabella. The pair returned to England,
successfully overthrowing Isabella’s husband. Edward II was
imprisoned, and Roger Mortimer became ruler of England.
This left Edward,
Isabella’s son by her husband, in a very precarious position. He
was effectively under house arrest and too young to exercise, or even
try to assert, his authority. The youth became a young king, Edward
III, when his father was (probably) killed whilst in custody. His
uncle was also executed.
Things looked rather
bleak. Edward III was nearing adulthood, and Mortimer, who was
gathering vast power and endless titles unto himself, seemed unlikely
to suffer a rival. However, hope was not lost. A small group of
friends, young and intrepid fellows, sought to free Edward. A secret
passage was unlocked, and the rescuers made their way into Nottingham
Castle, where Edward, Mortimer, and Isabella were all living. Edward
III was freed, Mortimer captured, and a rather sombre conversation
had between mother and son.
Sir Roger Mortimer
appeared to have won. The old king was dead, Queen Isabella was his
mistress, and the young king his prisoner, to be dispensed with once
the time was right. Yet despite all these advantages, his rapacious
greed had made the nobility fearful, and the loyalty of his friends
saved Edward III.
Those seeking power
should beware that in the getting of it they don’t plant the seeds
of their own destruction.
Thaddeus
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